On Saturday, the LSU Tigers will host Texas A&M at 6:30 pm in Tiger Stadium. Unlike the first two home games of the season, rain will not be an issue. Humidity will be a little bit lower as well, making a more comfortable watch for fans. Thermometers will be in the low 80s under mostly clear skies as the game begins. 

Since 1960, LSU has competed in 48 home, night games in the months of September and October with a kickoff temperature between 80-85°F. LSU has won 43 or 89% of those games. The Tigers have won several games in these conditions recently, including in October 2024 against Ole Miss. The last home loss in an early season home night game with temperatures in the low 80s came against Mississippi State in 2014. 

2026 LSU Football Kickoff Weather Index

*Passing storms and a lightning delay pushed kickoff back two hours to 8:41 p.m. Due to that delay and rain-cooled air, the temperature at kickoff was just 78° instead of the forecasted 86°. Plugging in the updated conditions for early-season games, the index win percentage drops to 75%.

The Storm Station, via a partnership with researchers at LSU’s Department of Geography and Anthropology, launched the exclusive LSU Football Kickoff Weather Index in 2024. With team records and weather data dating back to 1960, the index will add two layers of context to gameday weather forecasts. With this information, Storm Station Meteorologists will be able to relate the forecast to weather from past games and how the program has performed in similar conditions. 

Competing in the southern climate, researchers wanted to know if the football team performed better in heat and humidity since those were the conditions most familiar to the players. Project leader Ariana Zerangue collected figures related to game scores, location, temperature, and precipitation. She then analyzed that data to identify any underlying trends.

“I was excited to take on this research project because I have always been intrigued by the weather and our atmosphere,” said Zerangue. “This research grabbed my attention because it was a new approach to climatology I had not considered before. I also think it will be an interesting conversation starter at next season’s tailgates!”

As the researchers and fans would expect, LSU Football wins more games in hotter temperatures. The warmer the minimum temperature, the better the outcomes tend to be for the team.

“Changing players, coaching staffs, and even athletics technology make the impacts weather has on games different from year to year,” said Storm Station Chief Meteorologist, Dr. Josh Eachus. “However, trends on the collegiate and professional ranks hold true year after year. “After all, through practice and cumulative competition, these teams are acclimated to the local weather, which may ultimately lead to some sort of advantage when conditions are near average.”

“I hope that people will appreciate the influence the weather has on our lives. It is something every LSU student and Baton Rouge resident has in common, and it can be more interesting than small talk! I also hope someone will continue to build on this project to see if there are any further impacts weather has on our football team,” said Zerangue.

The Storm Station and LSU hope to continue adding specifics to the database, building on the research project for years to come. WBRZ Viewers and LSU Football Fans can expect to see the LSU Football Weather Index become a daily part of the gameday forecast through football season. 

2025 LSU Football Kickoff Weather Index